Overall student enrollment is projected to decline in the Wilton school district over the next eight years, with the most dramatic decline projected to occur in the first five years, according to Milone & MacBroom’s Wilton Comprehensive School Enrollment Analysis and Projections report.
According to the report, over the eight-year window, kindergarten through second grade enrollment is projected to decline between 5.3% and 8.5%, while third through fifth grade enrollment is projected to decline between 23.1% and 25.9%.
Sixth through eighth grade enrollment is expected to decline sharply, according to the report, which projects declines between 16.2% and 20.8% by the end of the eight-year window.
Enrollment declines at the high school level “are not projected to materialize for the next few years, but a drop-off in enrollments is expected to occur beginning around 2018-19.”
Over the eight-year period, total declines projected in Milone & MacBroom’s report range from 8.8% to 14.8%.
Using three sets of projections, based on varying economic, birth and persistency ratio assumptions, Milone & MacBroom summarized enrollment projections for the 2016-17 school year, as well as over the next three years.